Sunday evening video forecast
On Saturday, showers and thunderstorms struggled to develop. Signs point to the next two days being similar with little more than isolated, afternoon activity.
Tonight & Tomorrow: Tonight will be mostly clear and a bit muggy with low temperatures in the low 70s. Monday offers the last remaining appreciable chance for rain in the week ahead. Like Sunday, just isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible after a lot of sunshine helps temperatures surge into the low 90s by mid-afternoon.
Up Next: Tuesday through Friday, an upper level ridge will build over the region causing sinking air and therefore warmer temperatures and drier conditions. Skies will be mainly clear with high temperatures ranging between 91-93 degrees and low temperatures in the low to mid 70s. By next weekend, a weak upper level trough of low pressure and associated front will deliver the next decent shot for showers and thunderstorms--especially Sunday. Click here to see the 7-day forecast.
There has been a pre-season tropical system in each of the last 7 seasons so @NHC_Atlantic now starts outlooks on May 15, today. In their first, the 5 words we like to see... quiet, for now. pic.twitter.com/LbP0eOG2u7— Josh Eachus (@DrJoshWX) May 15, 2022
The Tropics: On a side note, today marks the first day that the National Hurricane Center issues official, tropical weather outlooks. While this was previously done on the first day of hurricane season, June 1, last year the NHC decided to start outlooks earlier due to the recent string of pre-season tropical systems. In this year's first outlook, no development is expected over the next 5 days.
For several days now, some computer models have been consistently hinting at tropical activity around the Gulf of Mexico before Memorial Day. There are a lot of "click-bait" sources providing misleading information about that possibility. It is important to know that particular model has a bias toward "over-predicting" tropical activity this time of year and that if a system found its way into the Gulf over the next week or two, water temperatures this early in the season are barely favorable to maintain a storm, let alone strengthen it.
Hour-by-hour weather tracking is available for your location on the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates and unique weather insight from the whole team!
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