Although a tropical depression (forecast to become Tropical Storm Edouard) is positioned just offshore, local impacts will remain minimal. Beyond increased coverage of afternoon storm activity on Tuesday, seasonable summer-like conditions will prevail throughout the remainder of the week.
Tonight & Tomorrow: Even with a tropical system spinning offshore, afternoon thunderstorms will generally taper with the loss of daytime warming. Expect partial clearing overnight, though a spotty shower remains possible. The best chance for an early-morning downpour will focus along the coast. Morning lows will dip into the mid-70s. Likely becoming Tropical Storm Edouard by Tuesday, the system will move west across the northern Gulf, positioning the Capital Area to take on a tropical rainband. This will result in scattered daytime thunderstorms, with a little over half receiving a tropical downpour. Outside of these showers, it will be plenty warm with highs reaching the low 90s.
Up Next: The remainder of the Storm Station forecast is summer-like, with highs reaching the 90s on the regular and the occasional afternoon thunderstorm. Any uptick in storm coverage will depend on the movement of additional disturbances. As of now, the next disturbance is scheduled to approach Thursday and Friday, before departing into Labor Day Weekend.
The Tropics: Tropical Storm Edouard has developed 175 miles southeast of Port Arthur, Texas. Formerly Tropical Depression 5, the system will continue tracking through the northern Gulf. The system will be short-lived, eventually making landfall somewhere between Houston and Lake Charles on Tuesday. The primary impacts from the storm will be concentrated offshore, in addition to the Upper Texas and southeast Louisiana coasts.
Notably, this will be a compact system, with peak winds tightly concentrated around the center of circulation. Consequently, direct impacts will be confined to a relatively small footprint. However, such systems often intensify or weaken erratically with little warning. Fortunately, no significant impacts are expected in the Capital Area.
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— Meteorologist Malcolm Byron
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